Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.005766 0.006099 0.006445 0.006831 0.007252 0.007696 0.008203
2026-01-11 0.005168 0.005647 0.006168 0.006779 0.007481 0.008267 0.009220
2026-01-18 0.004813 0.005373 0.006002 0.006766 0.007677 0.008739 0.010087
2026-01-25 0.004519 0.005129 0.005830 0.006704 0.007780 0.009077 0.010788
2026-02-01 0.004386 0.005054 0.005839 0.006843 0.008115 0.009700 0.011874
2026-02-08 0.004193 0.004890 0.005724 0.006813 0.008226 0.010037 0.012603
2026-02-15 0.004037 0.004759 0.005638 0.006808 0.008359 0.010398 0.013382
2026-02-22 0.003858 0.004589 0.005490 0.006708 0.008355 0.010569 0.013899
2026-03-01 0.003701 0.004438 0.005358 0.006620 0.008355 0.010738 0.014417
2026-03-08 0.003593 0.004344 0.005293 0.006614 0.008464 0.011060 0.015181
2026-03-15 0.003414 0.004150 0.005088 0.006407 0.008277 0.010941 0.015255
2026-03-22 0.003337 0.004086 0.005051 0.006428 0.008412 0.011298 0.016100
2026-03-29 0.003283 0.004051 0.005054 0.006504 0.008632 0.011799 0.017232
2026-04-05 0.003187 0.003957 0.004971 0.006454 0.008664 0.012014 0.017904
2026-04-12 0.003111 0.003886 0.004916 0.006442 0.008749 0.012313 0.018747
2026-04-19 0.003024 0.003797 0.004834 0.006385 0.008760 0.012493 0.019391
2026-04-26 0.003004 0.003800 0.004878 0.006514 0.009066 0.013171 0.021017
2026-05-03 0.002935 0.003731 0.004820 0.006486 0.009120 0.013433 0.021881
2026-05-10 0.002877 0.003676 0.004777 0.006481 0.009210 0.013757 0.022899
2026-05-17 0.002795 0.003586 0.004681 0.006388 0.009151 0.013817 0.023389
2026-05-24 0.002721 0.003503 0.004593 0.006306 0.009104 0.013894 0.023919
2026-05-31 0.002673 0.003456 0.004557 0.006300 0.009185 0.014205 0.024979
2026-06-07 0.002572 0.003333 0.004404 0.006107 0.008939 0.013902 0.024667